Weekly Forex News & Market Pulse
This week, traders will watch important economic events from Japan, the US, the UK, and the Eurozone. Japan’s GDP shows slow growth, keeping the yen under pressure. The US has several key reports coming, including jobs, inflation, and Fed minutes, which may move the dollar. UK inflation and policy updates may influence GBP, while Eurozone CPI will guide euro direction. Markets may see volatility in currencies, commodities, and risk sentiment throughout the week.
Weekly Economic Calendar
Wednesday, November 19, 2025
02:00 GBP - CPI (YoY) (Oct) 3.6% vs 3.8%
05:00 EUR - CPI (YoY) (Oct) 2.2% vs 2.1%
10:30 USD - Crude Oil Inventories 6.413M
14:00 USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday, November 20, 2025
All Day - Holiday: Brazil - Black Awareness Day
08:30 USD - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Sep) 0.3%
08:30 USD - Initial Jobless Claims 223K vs 218K
08:30 USD - Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) 22K
08:30 USD - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov) -1.4 vs -12.8
08:30 USD - Unemployment Rate (Sep) 4.3%
10:00 USD - Existing Home Sales (Oct) 4.06M vs 4.06M
Friday, November 21, 2025
09:45 USD - S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov) 52.5
09:45 USD - S&P Global Services PMI (Nov) 54.8
Japan GDP (Q3) – Monday, Nov 18
Japan’s economy grew slowly in Q3 with a 0.4% decline in GDP. Lower consumer spending and weaker exports show the economy is struggling to gain momentum. Investors are cautious about yen strength.
UK CPI (YoY, Oct) – Wednesday, Nov 19
UK inflation data will show how fast prices are rising. High inflation may support GBP through higher interest rates, while low inflation may signal slower growth, affecting market confidence.
Eurozone CPI (YoY, Oct) – Wednesday, Nov 19
Eurozone inflation shows the price trend across the region. Low inflation may increase chances of the ECB easing, while high inflation may strengthen the euro and signal robust economic activity.
US Crude Oil Inventories – Wednesday, Nov 19
The US weekly oil stock report shows supply and demand. Rising inventories suggest weaker demand, lowering oil prices. Falling inventories indicate stronger demand and support for oil and commodity-linked currencies.
FOMC Meeting Minutes – Wednesday, Nov 19
Fed minutes reveal insights from the last policy meeting. Hawkish tone indicates possible rate hikes, supporting USD. Dovish comments suggest caution, which may weaken the dollar.
US Labour Market Data – Thursday, Nov 20
Reports include Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings, Unemployment Rate, and Philadelphia Fed Index. Strong data show a robust economy, supporting USD. Weak data signals slower growth and may pressure the USD.
US Existing Home Sales – Thursday, Nov 20
October home sales indicate consumer confidence and housing demand. High sales show positive activity supporting USD, while low sales may signal slower economic activity.
US Manufacturing & Services PMI – Friday, Nov 21
PMI shows US business activity in manufacturing and services. Readings above 50 indicate expansion, below 50 show contraction. Strong PMI supports USD and risk appetite; weak PMI may trigger risk-off moves.
UK Asylum Policy Update – Weekend News
The UK announced reforms to its asylum system. Longer wait for permanent status and discretionary support may cause mild GBP volatility early this week.
Forex Market View
US Dollar (USD): Big week ahead with Nonfarm Payrolls, unemployment data, and FOMC minutes. Strong data → USD may rise, weak data → USD may fall.
British Pound (GBP): Volatility possible due to UK CPI release and asylum policy updates. Traders should watch market reactions closely.
Euro (EUR): Moves will depend on Eurozone CPI. High inflation → EUR may rise, low inflation → EUR may fall.
Japanese Yen (JPY): Likely to remain weak because Japan’s Q3 GDP showed slow growth. USD/JPY may rise.
Key Pairs to Watch: USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and EUR/USD could see significant moves this week.
Gold, Oil & Crypto Outlook
Gold: Traders will watch US dollar strength and risk sentiment. If the dollar rises after US jobs or Fed data, gold may face pressure. No major gold-specific events are scheduled this week.
Oil: US Crude Oil Inventories on Wednesday will affect oil prices. Rising stock levels → oil may fall; falling stocks → oil may rise. Oil-linked currencies like CAD could also move accordingly.
Cryptocurrency: Crypto markets may follow risk sentiment and USD moves. Strong US data could lead to short-term selling, while weaker data may boost risk appetite slightly. No major crypto-specific events this week.
Trader’s Edge: Week Ahead Tips
Watch US jobs, wages, and FOMC minutes; strong data may lift USD, weak data may push it down.
GBP may move on CPI and asylum policy updates.
EUR reacts to Eurozone inflation.
USD/JPY is likely to rise due to Japan’s slow GDP.
Oil and CAD move with US crude stocks.
Crypto follows risk sentiment and USD moves.
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Disclaimer
This newsletter provides market insights and expectations for the week ahead. These are predictions, not guarantees. Markets can change at any time due to new information or unexpected events. Always trade carefully and manage your risk.
