01 Key News Insights
Date: 14 November, Friday, 2025
Daily Economic Outlook:
White House announced that the October jobs report will be released without an unemployment rate.
- Nobody’s get to know what the Oct unemployment rate
- National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett told reporters that the government was not able to complete the household surveys used to determine unemployment data.
All major financial markets closed in red on Thursday
- All the major asset classes ended sharply lower today.
- Bitcoin fell 2%, Ethereum also fell +5%
- Gold closed with a 0.80% loss; silver closed with around 2% of losses
- SPX also extended losses to more than 1.25%, while DJI & Nasdaq both fell nearly 1.5%
- Almost every stock of MAG-7, ended in red yesterday, Nvidia was the pioneer – downfall – 3%
UK GDP Growth Disappoints in Q3
- The UK economy expanded by just 0.1% in Q3 2025, easing from 0.3% growth in Q2 and falling short of market expectations of 0.2%, according to preliminary estimates.
- China Industrial Output Growth reached 14-Month Low – 4.9% year-on-year
The Dollar Index (DXY)
- DXY trades on a positive note around 99.15 during the Asian trading hours on Friday.
- The DXY declines as traders brace for a backlog of US data following the government’s reopening, which they expect will likely point to a weakening economy.
However, further downside remains limited on positive political scenario in the USA
AUD/ NZD
- AUD/NZD loses ground as the Business NZ PMI rose to 51.4 in October, from 50.1 prior.
- BNZ’s Doug Steel said modest improvement was encouraging, giving the PMI its first four-month streak above 50 in three years.
- The Australian Dollar also receives support as improved labor market data boosts the RBA caution.
USD / JPY
- JPY continues with its relative underperformance amid the BoJ uncertainty.
- Intervention fears and the risk-off impulse could offer some support to the safe-haven JPY.
EUR/ GBP
- EUR/GBP gains momentum to near 0.8860 in Friday’s early European session.
- UK PM Starmer and Finance Minister Reeves drop plan to hike income tax rates.
- Weaker UK GDP data provided support to the pair
02 - Instructions/ Guidelines for Executing Suggested Trades
- Close your trades within 8-10 hours or before 6:30 PM UTC (midnight IST), regardless of profit/ loss.
2. By chance, if you face losses in your “Primary Trade”, the “Alternative Call” is designed to recover those losses.
3. That’s why, always place the “Alternative call” alongside the “Primary Call”.
4. In case the “Alternative or Recovery Call” doesn’t get triggered the same day, a new call (or signal) will be provided the following day.
5. Generally, the Global Market Outlook Report includes signals with a higher reward-to-risk ratio (from 2:1 and higher). Therefore, consider booking partial profits in steps as follows:
a.For example, if the reward is two times the risk (or 2:1), consider booking half (or 50%) of the profit when levels reach a 1:1 ratio, and maintain the remaining position.
b.Then, when prices reach twice the risk (2:1), book the remaining 50% position.
c.To make this process seamless and smooth, consider placing two calls simultaneously with the same Stop-Loss (SL) and Entry-Level but different Target-Levels.
Note: These guidelines aim to optimize your trading strategy while managing risks effectively.
02 - Economic Calender
04 - Instructions/Guidelines for executing suggested trade
- Close your trades within 8-10 hours or before 6:30 PM UTC (midnight IST), regardless of profit/ loss.
2. By chance, if you face losses in your “Primary Trade”, the “Alternative Call” is designed to recover those losses.
3. That’s why, always place the “Alternative call” alongside the “Primary Call”.
4. In case the “Alternative or Recovery Call” doesn’t get triggered the same day, a new call (or signal) will be provided the following day.
5. Generally, the Global Market Outlook Report includes signals with a higher reward-to-risk ratio (from 2:1 and higher). Therefore, consider booking partial profits in steps as follows:
a.For example, if the reward is two times the risk (or 2:1), consider booking half (or 50%) of the profit when levels reach a 1:1 ratio, and maintain the remaining position.
b.Then, when prices reach twice the risk (2:1), book the remaining 50% position.
c.To make this process seamless and smooth, consider placing two calls simultaneously with the same Stop-Loss (SL) and Entry-Level but different Target-Levels.
Note: These guidelines aim to optimize your trading strategy while managing risks effectively.
05 - Gold Analysis
Overview: The primary trend of gold is bullish. Gold made substantial bearish retracements on Thursday and ended the day on a confluence of support – the ascending trendline and the 20 EMA. In the Asian session, Friday, prices again tried to rise taking support of the confluence, but fib level 0.618 (R1 at 4195) acted as a strong resistance and prices again started declining, creating a bearish intraday bias for gold, giving it breaks the ascending trendline or S1 and sustains lower.
Biasness: Gold tried to regain positive traction on Friday following the overnight pullback from a three-week high. But the end of govt shutdown might support the USD and weaken the XAU/USD pair amid the risk-off impulse. Reduced bets for a December Fed rate cut might also keep a lid on further gains for the yellow metal.
Key Levels: R1- 4195 R2- 4225
S1- 4155 S2- 4100
Data Releases: There are no crucial data from the US docket that could impact the volatility in the precious metal.
Technical Analysis: The prices are approaching the 20 period EMA and RSI is also trending downwards towards the neutral 50 level, signaling further room for bears to push prices lower.
Alternative Scenario: If Gold fails to breach the immediate support S1 at 4155, then it might starts recovering upwards, which will drive the prices higher towards fib level 0.618 (R1: 4195).
While writing the report, gold is trading at 4175
06 - Crude Oil
Overview: Crude oil prices remain below the 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart, with immediate resistance positioned in the 60.40–60.70 zone. A sustained close below the R1 level may trigger further downside toward 58.50, signaling a continuation of the broader bearish trend.
Biasness: Crude oil prices remain under pressure, as yesterday’s inventory data came in higher than forecast, potentially weighing on near-term sentiment. However, prices moved higher today, with oil climbing sharply in Asian trading on Friday after a Ukrainian drone attack reportedly damaged a major oil depot in the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk.
Key Levels: R1: 61.30 R2: 62.60
S1: 58.10 S2: 56.30
Data Releases: Today, the market will be watching the U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count. If the rig count rises above expectations, it could signal increased future production capacity and potentially stronger demand outlook—factors that may support a positive shift in crude oil prices in the coming days.
Technical Analysis: The price is holding below the 200 EMA, with EMA slope trending downward, indicating bearish tone.
Alternative Scenario: If crude oil starts to close above the R1 of 61.30 , it could signal bullishness.
While writing the report, the pair is trending at 59.70
07 - EUR/USD
Overview: The EUR/USD pair continues to hold a bullish primary trend, forming higher highs and higher lows on the 4H chart. After breaking out yesterday, the price is currently retesting the breakout zone. The overall bias remains bullish, with potential buying opportunities likely around the London session open.
Biasness: The EUR/USD pair traded with a mild bullish tone during the Asian session as the dollar showed slight weakness. Despite the subdued movement, the near-term outlook for the pair remains firmly bullish.
Key Levels: R1: 1.1628 R2: 1.1728
S1: 1.1563 S2: 1.1468
Data Release: Today’s key events include the release of French Final CPI, Italian Trade Balance, and Flash Employment Change & GDP data. Additionally, remarks from FOMC member Schmid scheduled for later in the evening may contribute to increased market volatility.
Technical Analysis: The price is holding above the 21 EMA on the 4-hour timeframe, with the EMA slope trending upward, indicating a bullish bias.
Alternative Scenario: If prices starts to close below 21 EMA on 4H timeframe & if it closes below S1 then we can plan short entries.
While writing the report, the pair is trending at 1.1645
08 - BTC/USD
Overview: Bitcoin’s primary trend remains bearish on the 4-hour chart. Prices continue to decline, forming a lower-high and lower-low structure. After testing the pivot level today, Bitcoin turned lower and is now retesting a key support level. If this support is breached, further bearish momentum could follow.
Biasness: Bitcoin sank below $100,000 on Friday amid a broader risk-off mood and fading hopes of a December Fed rate cut. The crypto fell 4.2%, hitting its weakest level since May and heading for a third straight weekly loss.
Key Levels: R1: 100500 R2: 107000
S1: 97000 S2: 93000
Data Release: Today, nonfarm productivity, continuing jobless claims, the Atlanta Fed GDP estimate, and a speech from Bostic are scheduled for release. If these indicators come in supportive of the U.S. dollar, they may strengthen the USD and put downward pressure on Bitcoin prices.
Technical Analysis: The 12-period EMA is below of 52-period EMA, indicating bearishness.
Alternative Scenario: If prices are able to breach the immediate resistance level and the 12-period EMA crosses above the 52-period EMA, then bullishness can be observed.
While writing the report, the pair is trending at 96993.
09 - DOW JONES
Overview: The Dow Jones remains in a bullish trend on the 4-hour chart but failed to hold above 48,500, triggering a correction. Prices are testing support, with a pullback toward the pivot likely. Further bearishness emerges only if the pivot breaks.
Biasness: Dow Jones futures steadied on Friday after a sharp 1.65% drop in the previous session, as optimism over the government reopening was offset by stretched AI valuations and reduced expectations for a December Fed rate cut amid inflation concerns.
Key Levels: R1: 48000 R2: 48500
S1: 47400 S2: 47000
Data Release: Today, nonfarm productivity, continuing jobless claims, the Atlanta Fed GDP estimate, and a speech from Bostic are scheduled for release. If these indicators come in supportive of the U.S. dollar, they may strengthen the USD and put downward pressure on Dow Jones prices.
Technical Analysis: The 12-period EMA is nearing a crossover above the 52-period EMA; if this crossover occurs successfully, it will confirm a bearish signal.
Alternative Scenario: If prices are able to breach the immediate resistance level and the 12-period EMA sustains above of the 52-period EMA, then bullishness can be observed.
While writing the report, the pair is trending at 47404.
10 - Disclaimer
- CFD trading involves substantial risk, and potential losses may exceed the initial investment.
- Signals and analysis are based on historical data, technical analysis, and market trends.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results; market conditions can change rapidly.
- Consider your risk tolerance and financial situation before engaging in CFD trading.
- Signals are for informational purposes only and not financial advice.
- Each trader is responsible for their decisions; trade at your own risk.
- The report does not consider individual financial situations or risk tolerances.
- Consult with financial professionals if uncertain about the risks involved.
- By accessing this report, you acknowledge and accept the terms of this disclaimer.
Safe trading,
Market Investopedia Ltd
